GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaPitbulls Santa Barbara FC
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power48.3
1.52xG1.31
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