GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/6/2025, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 44.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaWWDWD

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
33.3Defence28.1
33.3Form42.7
45.3Power44.0
2.37xG1.65
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