GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/2/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 44.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal GreciaDLLLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
33.3Defence28.1
33.3Form42.7
45.3Power44.0
2.37xG1.65
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