GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/22/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Marineros de PuntarenasWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaMarineros de Puntarenas
66.7Attack61.8
33.3Defence59.8
33.3Form55.9
45.3Power59.1
1.27xG1.82
View match centre →