GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/21/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLimón Black Star
66.7Attack53.9
33.3Defence64.7
33.3Form57.8
45.3Power59.1
1.11xG1.59
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