GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jacó are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JacóLDLLW

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AD CarmelitaJacó
66.7Attack52.2
33.3Defence10.1
33.3Form21.7
45.3Power29.2
2.81xG1.41
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