GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/11/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter San Carlos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Inter San Carlos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter San Carlos hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Inter San Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter San Carlos

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Inter San Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLDLLD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Inter San CarlosWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaInter San Carlos
66.7Attack64.3
33.3Defence67.5
33.3Form65.9
45.3Power65.9
1.01xG1.93
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