GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaEscorpiones Belén
66.7Attack76.7
33.3Defence42.5
33.3Form58.3
45.3Power58.9
1.81xG2.26
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