GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/22/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaEscorpiones Belén
66.7Attack76.7
33.3Defence42.5
33.3Form58.3
45.3Power58.9
1.81xG2.26
View match centre →