AD CarmelitavsDeportivo Upala

AD Carmelita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.