AD CarmelitavsCariari Pococi

AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.