AD CarmelitavsAserri FC

AD Carmelita are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.