GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/7/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 44.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaAntioquia
66.7Attack55.2
33.3Defence36.5
33.3Form40.6
45.3Power44.1
2.09xG1.56
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