GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/13/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Antioquia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 44.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AntioquiaDLWLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AD CarmelitaAntioquia
66.7Attack55.2
33.3Defence36.5
33.3Form40.6
45.3Power44.1
2.09xG1.56
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