GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/9/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ADR JicaralDDLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaADR Jicaral
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.40xG1.50
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