GGOALVIO

AD Carmelita logoAD CarmelitavsAD Sarchí logoAD Sarchí

COMPLETED

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/20/2025, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
AD CarmelitaAD Sarchí
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.42xG1.60
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