GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/1/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíDWLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaAD Sarchí
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.42xG1.60
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