AD CarmelitavsAD Cofutpa

AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.