GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/30/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaWDDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD CofutpaWLDLW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaAD Cofutpa
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.81xG1.25
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