GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/18/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CofutpaLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaAD Cofutpa
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.81xG1.25
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