AD CarmelitavsAD Cofutpa

AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.