Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ACV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ACV 1-1 Dovo
Original prediction
ACV
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.1% | 54.1% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.6% | 23.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.4% | 22.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
ACV
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
ACV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ACVWDLWW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DovoLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ACVDovo
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power7.0
2.18xG1.06