GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 8/5/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ACS Sirineasa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Arges Pitesti are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arges Pitesti hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga II, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ACS SirineasaWDLDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Arges PitestiWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
ACS SirineasaArges Pitesti
29.3Attack33.3
52.0Defence73.3
40.0Form45.3
42.8Power51.6
0.49xG0.89
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