Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Achuapa are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Municipal are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00