Achilles Veenvs
Rijnvogels
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rijnvogels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Achilles Veen 1-4 Rijnvogels
Original prediction
Rijnvogels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.3% | 32.3% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 26.6% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.1% | 41.1% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rijnvogels
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Rijnvogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40