Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
ACE are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while PIF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PIF hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Suomen Cup, while PIF holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PIF
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
8.0%
PIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40