GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Accrington ST are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Stockport County are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Accrington ST

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Accrington STDLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stockport CountyDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Accrington STStockport County
60.0Attack33.3
46.7Defence50.0
60.0Form33.3
57.7Power40.9
2.04xG1.28
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