Accrington STvs
Port Vale
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Port Vale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60