Accrington STvs
Newport County
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newport County are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 44.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the League Two, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60