Accrington STvs
Lincoln
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/12/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lincoln are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60