Accrington STvs
Leeds United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Accrington ST are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Leeds United U21 are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 41.9-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.50/3.00