GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Accrington ST are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Everton U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Accrington ST

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Accrington STDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton U21LWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Accrington STEverton U21
60.0Attack11.1
46.7Defence55.6
60.0Form33.3
57.7Power37.2
2.00xG1.29
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