Accrington STvs
Carlisle
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Carlisle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00