Accrington STvs
Bradford
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bradford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the League Cup, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40