Accrington STvs
Bolton
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/10/2024, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Accrington ST are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bolton are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 88.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80