Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Acatlan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Acatlan 5-3 Ciervos
Original prediction
Acatlan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Acatlan
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Acatlan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AcatlanWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CiervosWLLDL
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
AcatlanCiervos
62.5Attack33.3
50.0Defence4.2
66.7Form16.7
60.3Power21.9
3.20xG0.89