GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 2/25/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Acassuso are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Villa San Carlos are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Acassuso hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcassusoWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Villa San CarlosDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
AcassusoVilla San Carlos
27.5Attack32.2
74.5Defence59.8
45.1Form33.3
51.7Power43.4
0.74xG0.44
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