Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Saturday, 18 July 202619:00Updated today
Acassuso

Acassuso

Home
LD
vs
19:00
San Telmo

San Telmo

Away
LL
La Quema Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Draw(28%)
Win probability
Acassuso
40%
Draw
28%
San Telmo
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Acassuso
54
San Telmo
34
Defence
Acassuso
27
San Telmo
14
Momentum
Acassuso
17
San Telmo
0
Danger (xG)
Acassuso
1.35
San Telmo
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Acassuso)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (San Telmo)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Acassuso)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (San Telmo)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AcassusoAcassuso
LDL
San TelmoSan Telmo
LLD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Acassuso40%
Draw28%
San Telmo32%

Acassuso leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Acassuso head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at La Quema Stadium in mixed form (LD), while San Telmo arrive in mixed form (LL). Acassuso have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for San Telmo over 2 games.

The model rates Acassuso's attack at 54/100 against a 14/100 San Telmo defence, and San Telmo's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Acassuso backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Acassuso have limited home data in the engine at this stage. San Telmo have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Acassuso and San Telmo in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 40% confidence. Win probabilities: Acassuso 3985%, Draw 2823%, San Telmo 3192%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Acassuso

Acassuso

L
@ Racing Cordoba
12 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Chaco For Ever
5 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
16 May 2026
01
San Telmo

San Telmo

L
vs Chaco For Ever
11 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
5 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Almirante Brown
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Acassuso vs San Telmo?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs San Telmo?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Acassuso vs San Telmo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Acassuso vs San Telmo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more