Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Acassuso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Andes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40