GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Acassuso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcassusoLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoDeportivo Moron
25.0Attack54.2
59.7Defence69.4
30.6Form61.1
40.6Power62.2
0.47xG1.29
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