Acassusovs
Deportivo Madryn
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Madryn · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Acassuso 0-0 Deportivo Madryn, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Acassuso 0-0 Deportivo Madryn
Original prediction
Deportivo Madryn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.7% | 21.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.1% | 31.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.2% | 46.9% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
Acassuso 0–0 Deportivo Madryn
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Madryn
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Deportivo Madryn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80