Acassusovs
Ciudad de Bolívar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Acassuso 0-0 Ciudad de Bolívar, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Acassuso 0-1 Ciudad de Bolívar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.8% | 28.8% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 32.4% | 38.5% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.8% | 32.7% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Acassuso 0–0 Ciudad de Bolívar
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AcassusoWWLLD
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarWLDLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoCiudad de Bolívar
23.7Attack28.0
63.4Defence69.9
31.2Form45.2
41.5Power50.3
0.45xG0.58