Acassusovs
Atletico Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Acassuso 0-0 Atletico Mitre, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Acassuso 2-0 Atletico Mitre
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.4% | 30.2% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 32.0% | 35.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.7% | 34.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Acassuso 0–0 Atletico Mitre
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AcassusoLLDLL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico MitreDDDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoAtletico Mitre
21.8Attack31.0
60.9Defence59.8
26.4Form36.8
38.7Power44.2
0.56xG0.69