Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Acassuso 0-0 All Boys, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Acassuso 0-1 All Boys
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 33.1% | 28.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 34.0% | 40.6% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.9% | 30.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Acassuso 0–0 All Boys
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AcassusoDLLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
All BoysDLWDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AcassusoAll Boys
23.5Attack18.5
60.5Defence70.4
28.4Form34.6
39.7Power43.9
0.45xG0.49