Acambarovs
Artesanos Metepec
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Acambaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Acambaro 2-3 Artesanos Metepec
Original prediction
Acambaro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.0% | 41.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 26.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 32.3% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Acambaro
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Acambaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60