Academico Viseu U23vs
Penafiel U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Academico Viseu U23 0-0 Penafiel U23
Original prediction
Academico Viseu U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.7% | 48.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 25.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.9% | 26.5% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu U23
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Academico Viseu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40