Academico Viseu U23vs
Moreirense U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Academico Viseu U23 1-3 Moreirense U23
Original prediction
Academico Viseu U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.3% | 48.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 26.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu U23
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Academico Viseu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33