Academicavs
Lusitânia Lourosa
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Academica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Academica hold a 46.0-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Segunda Liga, while Academica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Academica
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
12.8%
Academica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80