GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Academica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Academica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Academica hold a 46.0-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Segunda Liga, while Academica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Academica

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

12.8%

Academica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcademicaWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lusitânia LourosaWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AcademicaLusitânia Lourosa
100.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power42.7
1.66xG0.89
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