Academicavs
1º Dezembro
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/8/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Academica are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while 1º Dezembro are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Academica hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Liga 3, while Academica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Academica
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Academica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00