Academia Cantolaovs
Santos
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/7/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Academia Cantolao 0-3 Santos
Original prediction
Santos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.4% | 33.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 28.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.5% | 38.1% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Academia CantolaoDDWLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SantosLWLDL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Academia CantolaoSantos
41.2Attack39.6
37.3Defence54.2
29.4Form43.8
37.1Power47.5
1.17xG1.40